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10 / 09 / 20

香港辦事處

 

US Dollar

Reuters: The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies slipped 0.3% to 93.261. The British pound traded at $1.3307, recovering slightly from a dip to a six-week low of $1.2839 on Wednesday. 

 

The dollar held steady against the safe-harbour Swiss franc at 0.9120 and was little changed at 106.20 yen. Traders in the dollar are closely watching global equities to see if a rebound in U.S. tech shares from a rapid sell-off will support riskier assets in other markets. 

 

Across the Tasman Sea, the New Zealand dollar was little changed at $0.6680.

 

Euro

Reuters: The euro held onto gains against the dollar on Thursday as traders braced for a European Central Bank meeting to gauge policymakers’ views on the common currency’s recent appreciation and its impact on inflation. Sterling steadied above a six-week low but could face more losses due to growing concern that Britain and the European Union will fail to agree a trade deal. 

 

While markets expect the ECB to keep policy steady, investors will closely watch President Christine Lagarde’s comments on how the euro’s rise to a two-year high this month affects the outlook for inflation and economic growth.  The euro bought $1.1807 in Asia on Thursday, holding onto a 0.3% gain from the previous session. 

 

Sentiment for cable has taken a hit after Britain unveiled draft legislation that analysts say raises the possibility of it exiting the EU single market in four months time with no trade agreement in place. The euro got a boost on Wednesday after Bloomberg News reported that ECB officials are growing more confident in the bloc’s economic outlook. However, traders may be reluctant to buy the common currency further before the ECB meeting due to earlier media reports that officials are growing uncomfortable with the euro’s almost 6% appreciation against the dollar from its June low.

 

Australian Dollar

FXStreet: AUD/USD takes offers around 0.7265, down 0.25% on a day, during the early Thursday. While weakness the latest Aussie data, as well as risk-reset, can be counted as fundamental catalysts behind the quote’s pullback, a short-term falling channel since September 04 plays its technical role. 

 

However, 100-HMA questions the pairs’ further downside around 0.7260 ahead of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of August 25-30 upside, near 0.7250. Although the bears are likely to recede control around 0.7250, their further dominance will aim for the 0.7200 round-figures ahead of refreshing the monthly low while visiting the channel’s support near 0.7175.

 

Meanwhile, an upside clearance of the channel resistance of 0.7285 will have to cross the 200-HMA level of 0.7305 before allowing the bulls to retake controls. In doing so, 0.7340 and 0.7380 could gain market attention before the previous month’s top, also the multi-month peak, surrounding 0.7415.

 

Global Markets

Reuters: Asian markets are expected to swing higher on Thursday, after U.S. stocks reversed course from a three-day losing streak that led the technology-heavy Nasdaq into correction territory. The U-turn in U.S. stocks, however, was already reflected in some markets, so the impact in Asia may be muted, said Rodrigo Catril, a senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank. “We still expect markets to open with a positive turn, but we don’t expect a meaningful acceleration of it,” Catril said. “It should be a positive open but not a bombastic open.”

 

Australian S&P/ASX 200 futures rose 1.28% in early trading and Japan’s Nikkei 225 futures added 0.13%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index futures rose 0.85%. MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe gained 1.44%. Wall Street ended higher on Wednesday after investors ploughed into technology stocks, taking advantage of the recent dip. 

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 439.58 points, or 1.6%, to 27,940.47, the S&P 500 gained 67.12 points, or 2.01%, to 3,398.96 and the Nasdaq Composite added 293.87 points, or 2.71%, to 11,141.56. Oil prices recovered some of the losses they saw in the prior trading session when they hovered near three-month lows. U.S. crude rose 3.5% and Brent added 2.5%, although COVID-19 outbreaks still threaten to slow a global economic recovery. U.S. crude eased 0.5% in early Asian trade on Thursday to $37.88 a barrel.

 

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